Today I was bored and thought at the rate the current Seattle Mariners team is going what would their record be at the end of the season. Let's just say it isn't pretty (though I do not believe they can extend their futility throughout the whole season).
It started out as a question of how Total Total Based (TB+BB+HBP+SB) would look if divided by runs. The theory was lower numbers were better on offense and worse on defense/pitching (kind of an offensive efficiency angle). However, I got bored and went a different direction.
Methodology: I can't stand "sabermetrics" so what am I using. Something simple. Using the current 2013 stats, I divided by .1481 (24/162).
At their current pace, I have the Seattle Mariners year end record being 57-105.
They would score 533 runs (2010 redux) yet give up 742 runs.
I don't think the M's current pace of grounding into 195 double plays (or pitching giving up 300+ doubles and 229 HRs) will hold up.
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